CSK vs MI Live win probability, prediction, odds & chances of victory in IPL 2026 clash

Chennai Super Kings take on arch-rivals Mumbai Indians in an IPL 2026 encounter at the Chepauk on Saturday, May 2.

MI will seek revenge against their rivals after suffering their heaviest defeat in the history of IPL in the first leg at the Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai.

In this article, The Sporting News tracks the IPL 2026 match and provides each team’s live win probabilities.

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Live scorecard:

CSK vs MI IPL 2026: Win probability and toss result

Rohit Sharma and MS Dhoni will continue to sit out due to their respective injuries. 

Toss: MI captain Hardik Pandya won the toss and opted to bat first.

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CSK vs MI: Predicted playing XI

CSK predicted playing XI: Ruturaj Gaikwad (capt), Sanju Samson (wk), Sarfaraz Khan, Dewald Brevis, Shivam Dube, Kartik Sharma, Jamie Overton, Anshul Kamboj, Noor Ahmad, Gurjapneet Singh, Mukesh Choudhary

Impact Player: Akeal Hosein

MI predicted playing XI: Quinton de Kock (WK), Will Jacks, Suryakumar Yadav, Hardik Pandya (C), Tilak Varma, Sherfane Rutherford, Jasprit Bumrah, Krish Bhagat, AM Ghazanfar, Ashwani Kumar

Impact Player: Shardul Thakur

CSK vs MI IPL 2026: Win percentage

Team Win probability
CSK 44%
MI 56%

CSK vs MI IPL 2026 odds

*All odds via Dafabet.

Team Odds
CSK 2.10
MI 1.74

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