Jo Adell has a dreamy matchup for his +340 betting odds to hit a home run tonight.
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The cold streak for MLB best home run bets came to a close on Friday. Both JJ Bleday and Ben Rice hit home runs, making their home run props, at +400 and +328 odds, respectively, winning wagers.
The season’s record for MLB best home run bets sits at 10-34, with two no-bets for players who weren’t in the starting lineup on the days their home run bets were suggested. Despite the lousy record, bettors who wagered $100 on each of the suggested home run props at the touted odds are up $753 on the year.
Home run bets are challenging bets to hit, hence the record. Yet, they’re priced as long-shot bets, and making calculated decisions on home run props can yield a profit. There will be more dry spells at some point, but the following two home run bets are compelling selections based on the likelihood of happening and the betting odds, and they can add to the season’s profits.
MLB Best Home Run Bets
Jo Adell (Los Angeles Angels – OF)
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+340) at DraftKings Sportsbook
doesn’t boast the same dominance over lefties as Adell does over recent years, but his six homers, 14.3% line-drive rate, 46.9% fly-ball rate, 13.0% HR/FB, 37.8% pull rate and 38.8% hard-hit rate in 188 plate appearances against southpaws since 2024 weren’t bad.
Trout is also having a monstrous season at the plate, with 14 homers in 266 plate appearances in 2026. The outfielder’s batted-ball data is also pristine. Among qualified hitters this year, Trout is 10th in barrels per plate appearance rate (11.5%), fifth in barrels per batted-ball event rate (20.8%), tied for 35th in hard-hit rate (48.6%), tied for 48th in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (95.6 mph), tied for 21st in maximum exit velocity (114.6 mph), tied for 120th in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (34.0%) and has the 21st-steepest launch angle (20.8 degrees).
Trout’s +319 odds to hit a home run aren’t particularly long. Nevertheless, they’re inviting odds against homer-prone Freeland.
This article was originally published on Forbes.com